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A Disappearing act: impact of tighter financial conditions |
Bonds, Equity, Global, Market
Timing, Volatility, Early Warning Indicator
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Excerpts:
“Plentiful money at near-zero cost has been the mood music of markets since the financial crisis. the result of this government-sponsored largesse? suppressed volatility, greater risk taking and a potential misallocation of capital. What happens to markets when financial conditions tighten and risks of a liquidity disappearing act pick up?” …
“the US federal reserve is unlikely to raise rates until 2015 at the earliest, we believe, but volatility is set to rise from trough levels as the quantity of its stimulus wanes. This means portfolios today are more risky than they appear. Investors have to weigh the risk of getting caught out versus the risk of leaving the party too soon. Yet going against the crowd is difficult.”
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Excerpts-BlackRock Investment Institute, May 2014
28.05.2014
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Themes
Asia
Bonds
Bubbles and Crashes
Business Cycles Central Banks
China
Commodities Contrarian
Corporates
Creative Destruction Credit Crunch
Currencies
Current Account
Deflation Depression
Equity Europe Financial Crisis Fiscal Policy
Germany
Gloom and Doom Gold
Government Debt
Historical Patterns
Household Debt Inflation
Interest Rates
Japan
Market Timing
Misperceptions
Monetary Policy Oil Panics Permabears PIIGS Predictions
Productivity Real Estate
Seasonality
Sovereign Bonds Systemic Risk
Switzerland
Tail Risk
Technology
Tipping Point Trade Balance
U.S.A. Uncertainty
Valuations
Yield
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