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   Investment Thoughts - Macro Observations

The Financial Accelerator and the Credit Channel
To understand where the Fed Chariman's economic heart truly lies, read the speech he delivered at the Atlanta Fed in June 2007: “The Financial Accelerator and the Credit Channel.”

To understand where the Fed Chariman's economic heart truly lies, read the speech he delivered at the Atlanta Fed in June 2007: “The Financial Accelerator and the Credit Channel.”

 

In this speech, Mr. Bernanke provides a somewhat personal overview of the financial accelerator and credit channels and their common underlying logic.


As an academic in the early 1980s, Mr. Bernanke pioneered the idea that the financial markets, rather than a neutral player in business cycles, could significantly amplify booms and busts. Widespread failures by banks could aggravate a downturn, as could a decline in creditworthiness by consumers or businesses, rendering them unable to borrow. Mr. Bernanke employed this  “financial accelerator” theory to explain the extraordinary depth and duration of the Great Depression. (Much of that work was done with New York University’s Mark Gertler, now a visiting scholar at the New York Fed.). Source: WSJ

 

Highlights

 

One of the critical priorities of developing economies is esablishing a modern, well-functioning financial system.

 

Just as a healthy financial system promotes growth, adverse financial conditions may prevent an economy from reaching its potential.


Some evidence supports the view that changes in financial and credit conditions are important in the business cycle, a mechanism that has been dubbed the "financial accelerator."

 

Moreover, a fairly large literature has argued that changes in financial conditions may amplify the effects of monetary policy on the economy, the so-called credit channel of monetary-policy transmission.

 

 

Link to Bernanke's Speech

 

 

 

The Federal Reserve Board, June 2007-Remarks by Chairman Ben S. Bernanke

19.06.2007


 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield