Analytics

 Investment Office

Selecting relevant market observations

Investment Thoughts
Macro Observations
Capital Markets
Markets in History
Beyond Finance
Quotes on the Fly
Chart Gallery
Academia
Coffee Chronicles
Archives
Asset Management
Pension Funds
Family Offices
Wealth Managers
Asset Managers
About
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Cookie Policy

   Investment Thoughts - Macro Observations

The Nort Dakota and Montana Oil Boom
With 15 million barrels per month, the Bakken oil boom dwarfs previous oil production expansions in Montana and North Dakota.

 

The Minneapolis Fed has released avery good publication on the so-called Bakken oil boom. The Bakken refers to 12 counties in Montana and North Dakota most affected by oilfield activity and closely related economic expansion.

 

Here are some of the conclusions:

 

  • The Bakken oil boom dwarfs previous oil production expansions in Montana and North Dakota; drilling is expected to continue at strong levels for at least the next 10 to 20 years.

 

  • Over the next 10 to 20 years, the North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources expects over 20,000 new wells to be drilled in the North Dakota Bakken area.

 

 

 

 

 

  • The unemployment rate in the Bakken is about 2 percent; the rate in the rest of Montana and North Dakota is just under 7 percent and 4 percent, respectively.

 

  • Average weekly wages are up around 25 percent in the Bakken since 2009; wage growth is up 1.9% from 3Q2009 to 3Q2011 in the rest of MT and 4.9% in the rest of ND.

 

 

 

 

 

  • Bank performance within the Bakken has remained stable and generally similar to bank performance in the rest of Montana and North Dakota, although profitability for Bakken banks has picked up recently relative to non-Bakken banks. The incidence of serious mortgage problems has fallen relatively fast in the Bakken since 2010.

 

 

 

The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, June 2012-Data on Demographic, Economic and Financial Activity in the Bakken

05.08.2012


 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield