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   Investment Thoughts - Academia

 

Academia

Scientific Observations on Financial Markets

 

 

 

 articles 11-15 / 15   « page 2 of 2  
 
Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions
"Furthermore, when interpreting the yield curve evidence, one should keep in mind the adage “correlation is not causation.”
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Economic Letter, August 27, 2018 , Michael D. Bauer and Thomas M. Mertens

Consumers Response More to negative News than Positive Info
"The laboratory provides insight into how cognitively taxing it can become for people exposed to changes in the economic landscape to acquire and process information."
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Economic Letter, Volume 13, Number 7, May 2018 , Antonella Tutino

It’s a Trap: Emperor Palpatine’s Poison Pill
Washington University in St. Louis, December 1, 2015 , Zachary Feinstein

Applying Deep Learning to Enhance Momentum Trading Strategies in Stocks
Working Paper, Stanford University, December 12, 2013 , Lawrence Takeuchi, Yu-Ying (Albert) Lee

Swiss Franc Lending in Europe
"Our estimates suggest that at the end of 2007, CHF 238 billion in Swiss franc denominated loans were outstanding in the euro area, and another CHF 122 billion in other European countries."
Swiss National Bank, February 2009 , Martin Brown, Marcel Peter, and Simon Wehrmüller


 

 

"Descriptions of the financial markets are full of imagery: bull, bears, herd instinct. And scientific theories have remarkably little traction among practitioners."

George Soros

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield